Long-term cash flow. High rental revenue from a mix of tenants.
Stable assets. These concepts are guiding investors' approaches
in today's Russian real estate market, as both domestic and foreign
investors look for solid investments in a volatile economic climate.
They also have learned lessons from the real estate disasters of the
global financial crisis, and, especially among foreign investors, they
are looking to minimize the risk of putting millions or billions
of dollars in a developing economy.
In many ways, this investment approach shows a maturation of Russia's
real estate investment market, as does the scope and range of the
transactions made so far this year. In the first half of the year,
the amount of investment transactions in the area of Moscow totaled $3.4
billion, Colliers International said in a recent report. More than 2.2
billion euros ($3.1 billion) has been invested in — that is, spent on —
18 massive real estate deals through early September, according
to figures provided by the Moscow office of real estate firm CB Richard
Ellis. Much of that money has gone to Russian companies, according
to information from real estate firms and media reports. The deals were
for a mix of properties, including a hotel, shopping centers, offices
and an industrial park.
More than $3 billion in Russian real estate has been purchased by both Russian and foreign investors so far this year.
These 2011 deals have included the sale of The Ritz-Carlton Hotel
by Capital Group to Kazakh company Verny Capital, according to Colliers,
for a price that CBRE estimates at 425 million euros. That could be
the highest-priced deal thus far this year. In a smaller deal with
foreign players, FM Logistic Industrial Park, a site near Sheremetyevo
Airport, was bought by Hines Global REIT from AIG European Real Estate
Partners, Hines announced. CBRE estimated the deal to be 55 million
euros.
Russian firm O1 Properties has been the most active investor
in Russian real estate in the past year and a half, said Darrell
Stanaford, managing director of CBRE in Russia. Boris Mints, owner of O1
Properties and a major Russian banker, bought Horus Capital's project
portfolio for $850 million, Vedomosti reported, and O1 Properties is
planning an initial public offering in fall 2012, according to Russian
media.
Jones Lang LaSalle is predicting that the total value of the Russian
real estate transaction market for all of this year will be $7 billion,
said Tom Devonshire-Griffin, head of capital markets for the real estate
firm. That would make it a record year for Russian real estate deals,
he said. Global firm Colliers said the $3.4 billion investment figure
for the first half of 2011 represents 87 percent of the total
transaction volume for all of 2010.
Show Us the Cash Flow
The wave of deals and O1 Properties' planned IPO all point to a
robust market that has the potential to attract capital
from established, experienced investors. Real estate firms have been
seeing this trend in their practices, as their potential customers
request income-generating properties with cachet derived from the
property itself or its tenants, or both.
"Cash flow is important for every investor we've been talking to for
the past year," said Alexei Filimonov, general director of Russian real
estate broker and adviser Astera.
Devonshire-Griffin echoed that sentiment, saying "income-producing assets are still the primary focus" for investors here.
For real estate clients, the type of property is critical to whether
a deal is made. Filimonov said his clients are interested only in Class
A and Class B properties, and they focus on Moscow. They also want
a high-liquidity property, one that can attract a large number
of well-financed potential buyers when the investor tries to sell it.
But despite the weight of location, architecture and building
maintenance in the typical multimillion dollar real estate deal,
the property's list of tenants and the nature of their leases can
receive equal weight in a deal. Tenants and leases can be much more
important than the type of property, said Filimonov of Astera, which
operates in cooperation with France's BNP Paris Real Estate.
A high-quality tenants list consists of big domestic corporations
and major foreign companies, giving the building established companies
as tenants. That factor reduces the risk to the investor that tenants
will be vacating the premises because of bankruptcy or operating income
deficiencies. In terms of leases, those ideally expire at various dates,
reducing the risk that all sources of revenue for the building could
vacate the building at the same time.
More Than $300 Million?
In an example of how a property with high-quality tenants
and buildings can command a high price, one such Moscow property is
poised to be another of this year's mega-deals. Hines, the London-
and Houston-based real estate developer and investor, is trying to sell
one of the most prestigious office buildings in Russia, Ducat III. It
was developed by Hines; an unpublicized private investor; and the Hines
Emerging Markets Real Estate Fund II, which is an investment fund
sponsored and managed by Hines and Trust Company of the West, according
to Hines' web site. Ducat III was finished in January 2007.
Jones Lang LaSalle is predicting that the total value of the
Russian real estate transaction market for all of this year will be $7
billion.
The 14-story office building, near the northern arc of Moscow's
Garden Ring, has tenants that include many big companies, including U.S.
bank Citi, U.S. investment firm Goldman Sachs, Sovkomflot and U.S.
energy firm ConocoPhillips. "It has a diverse set of high-quality
tenants," Stanaford noted in an interview, saying having a range
of industries represented in a building is also a risk-reducer.
Stanaford expects that Hines will succeed in selling Ducat III before
the end of the year and that it will be bought by an international
investor for more than $300 million.
It has been on the market for a while. Filimonov noted that, after
months on the market, a deal for the property hasn't been sealed. "Why?
Because it's large," he said, and massive financing or capital reserves
are needed to buy such a building. A Hines representative for Ducat III
couldn't be reached immediately by telephone or e-mail for comment
on the property.
To be sure, foreign investors are players in more than offices
and malls. They also have been considering developing housing properties
here, Filimonov said. In Moscow, there is high demand for apartments
but a low supply of quality buildings. Filimonov said some funds are
seeking land for residential developments, but he hasn't heard of a
successful acquisition by a foreign fund in the housing sector.
Devonshire-Griffin said a significant percentage of his firm's investors
are interested in residential real estate, but they all are interested
in small-scale residential in central Moscow. That market is limited
in supply.
Eye on Moscow
Moscow is the continued focus of Russia's real estate market and the
recipient of most real estate investments made in the country.
Devonshire-Griffin said Russia's income-producing real estate assets are
concentrated in Moscow and St. Petersburg, and Filimonov said Russia's
investment happens in a small area: It is within the boundaries
of Moscow's Ring Road, he said.
In terms of domestic vs. foreign players, international firms have
been buyers in only a handful of the 20 largest financial transactions
so far this year but still are major contenders.
The analysts and executives interviewed for this article pointed out
that many foreign investors in Russia are funds that don't have
a mandate to invest in Russia and don't focus on Russia, Eastern Europe
or the CIS exclusively.
Hines is an active investor in the Russian market, as are Morgan
Stanley and Blackstone, Devonshire-Griffin said. Russia-focused funds
include those run by Hines and the Barwa Gazprombank Russia Real Estate
Fund, which was formed by Gazprombank and Qatari Barwa Real Estate.
Foreign governments are power players among foreign investors,
according to some estimates. "We're dominated by sovereign funds,"
Devonshire-Griffin said, naming Singapore, Qatar, Omar, China and Abu
Dhabi as the most active governmental investors here.
Russia's government is a market player, though both state companies
and Moscow governments are selling off real estate holdings to divest
of noncore assets and to allow for economic modernization. Though this
year has been an exception, most of Russia's investors tend to be
the developers of the properties in which they invest. After the crisis,
they have rebounded and are back in the game. Real Estate Deals in Russia, 2011
Quarter | Location | Name | Use | Size (sqm) | Estimated Price (euros, in millions) | Nationality Of Buyer |
1 | Moscow | Classic Business Center (Lighthouse) | Office | 44,581 | 100
| Russia |
2 | St. Petersburg | Aeroplaza | Office | 33,000 | 35 | Russia |
2 | Kaluga | SanMart | Shopping center | 47,000 | 60 | Russia |
2 | Moscow | FM Logistic Industrial Park | Warehouse | 75,000 | 55 | United States |
2 | Moscow | Ritz-Carlton Hotel | Hotel | (334 units) | 425 | Kazakhstan |
2 | Moscow | GoodZone I & II (25 percent stake) | Shopping center | 120,000 | n/a | Austria |
2 | Moscow | White Square Business Center (BC) | Office | 110,753 | 245 | Russia |
2 | Moscow | White Gardens BC (under construction) | Office | 95,000 | 165 | Russia |
2 | Moscow | Alfa Arbat Center | Office | 47,200 | 160 | Russia |
2 | Moscow | Kaluzhsky Shopping Center | Shopping center | 57,000 | 130 | Russia |
2 | Moscow | Filion Trade Center | Shopping center | 128,000 | 140 | Russia |
2 | Moscow | Gorbushkin Dvor Trade Center | Shopping center | 60,000 | 210 | Russia |
3 | Moscow | Metropolis, Bldg. 2 | Office | 33,542 | 140 | United States |
3 | Moscow | Metromarket Centers Portfolio | Retail | 19,500 | 90 | Russia |
3 | St. Petersburg | Nevsky Passage | Retail | 21,500 | 55 | United States |
3 | Moscow | Pushkinsky BC | Office | 17,824 | 85 | Russia |
3 | Moscow | Concord BC | Office | 30,584 | <125 | Russia |
3 | Moscow | Metromarket Shopping Center | Retail | 9,459 | <125 | Russia |
Source: CB Richard Ellis. Estimated prices have been rounde
The Moscow Times
By Rachel Nielsen
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